Geopolitics
3239 signals across 149 markets — Page 6 of 8
Follow whale trades in geopolitical prediction markets on Polymarket. Track sharp bettors wagering on international diplomacy, conflicts, treaties, and global power shifts.
Geopolitics Markets with Smart Money Signals
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? — 8 signals, $15,606 tracked
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...? — 21 signals, $178,113 tracked. Latest: 3-wallet geopolitical NO cluster
- Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...? — 1 signal, $1,756 tracked. Latest: 72% win-rate event specialist
- Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...? — 3 signals, $15,094 tracked. Latest: 92% win-rate war bettor
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...? — 4 signals, $8,295 tracked. Latest: 85% winner buys No
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by...? — 71 signals, $294,085 tracked. Latest: 5-wallet ceasefire bear cluster
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? — 109 signals, $766,052 tracked. Latest: Repeat new-wallet whale
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April? — 8 signals, $19,985 tracked. Latest: Sharp bettor buying NO
- What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April? — 8 signals, $25,352 tracked. Latest: $1M-profit event trader
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? — 20 signals, $89,721 tracked. Latest: 19-wallet sharp cluster
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? — 7 signals, $23,028 tracked. Latest: 94% winner flips toward Yes
- How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19) — 1 signal, $17,170 tracked. Latest: 5-wallet linked Yes cluster
- Israel military action against Iran by...? — 16 signals, $68,876 tracked. Latest: 17-wallet geopolitics cluster
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...? — 2 signals, $17,414 tracked. Latest: 5-wallet Yes surge
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...? — 13 signals, $43,171 tracked. Latest: 19-wallet sharp cluster
- Who will meet with Iran by April 30? — 2 signals, $2,548 tracked. Latest: 88% winner flips to Yes
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? — 2 signals, $7,775 tracked. Latest: 94% win-rate bettor
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...? — 1 signal, $3,461 tracked. Latest: 82% win-rate bettor
- How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30? — 2 signals, $2,315 tracked. Latest: 92% win-rate macro bettor
- Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12? — 2 signals, $2,558 tracked. Latest: Serial data-market bettor
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Resolved11d ago
S
Sharp_0xf67f783% win rate
$1,572 on No at 60¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Resolved13d ago
T
Trader_0xd5ccd72% win rate
$1,756 on Yes at 89¢
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Resolved14d ago
W
Whale_0x0b65292% win rate 🔥
$3,958 on Yes at 90¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?Event · 2 markets · 4 signals
Resolved15d ago
S
Sharp_0xfc2f485% win rate
$2,670 on No at 89¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Resolved16d ago
W
Whale_0x293e5100% win rate 🔥
$27,450 on No at 90¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?Event · 2 markets · 71 signals
Resolved17d ago
T
Trader_0x162f669% win rate
$3,417 on Yes at 43¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Resolved17d ago
T
Trader_0x162f669% win rate
$2,056 on Yes at 29¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Resolved17d ago
W
Whale_0x5fdf594% win rate 🔥
$1,709 on Yes at 25¢How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Resolved17d ago
$17,170 on Yes at 80¢
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?Event · 4 markets · 8 signals
Resolved18d ago
0xacbc...7cc3$2,990 on No at 65¢
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?Event · 2 markets · 8 signals
Resolved19d ago
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b63% win rate
$1,073 on No at 66¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Resolved19d ago
$11,030 on Yes at 74¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?Event · 3 markets · 13 signals
Resolved19d ago
T
Trader_0x162f669% win rate
$6,182 on No at 84¢
Who will meet with Iran by April 30?Event · 2 markets · 2 signals
Resolved19d ago
S
Sharp_0xfc2f485% win rate
$1,548 on Yes at 82¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Resolved19d ago
W
Whale_0x5fdf594% win rate 🔥
$1,600 on No at 75¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Resolved19d ago
S
Sharp_0x5188f82% win rate
$3,461 on Yes at 88¢
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Resolved19d ago
W
Whale_0x0b65292% win rate 🔥
$1,096 on No at 90¢
Israel military action against Iran by...?Event · 2 markets · 16 signals
Resolved23d ago
T
Trader_0x35bbb74% win rate
$1,659 on Yes at 17¢