Politics
3410 signals across 225 markets — Page 9 of 12
Monitor sharp bettor activity in political prediction markets. From elections to policy decisions, see where informed money is positioning on Polymarket's political events.
Politics Markets with Smart Money Signals
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...? — 4 signals, $8,295 tracked. Latest: 85% winner buys No
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by...? — 71 signals, $294,085 tracked. Latest: 5-wallet ceasefire bear cluster
- What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April? — 8 signals, $25,352 tracked. Latest: $1M-profit event trader
- Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory — 2 signals, $8,934 tracked. Latest: 3-wallet Yes surge
- Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? — 7 signals, $24,268 tracked. Latest: Sharp cluster buying No
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? — 7 signals, $23,028 tracked. Latest: 94% winner flips toward Yes
- Elon Musk # tweets April 14 - April 21, 2026? — 6 signals, $20,334 tracked. Latest: Sharp wallet joins 3-buyer cluster
- What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19) — 2 signals, $2,771 tracked. Latest: Profitable new wallet flips Yes
- Elon Musk # tweets April 18 - April 20, 2026? — 2 signals, $3,442 tracked. Latest: Profitable 4-wallet cluster
- Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place — 40 signals, $116,592 tracked. Latest: Sharp cluster buying No
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...? — 2 signals, $17,414 tracked. Latest: 5-wallet Yes surge
- Who will meet with Iran by April 30? — 2 signals, $2,548 tracked. Latest: 88% winner flips to Yes
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? — 2 signals, $7,775 tracked. Latest: 94% win-rate bettor
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...? — 1 signal, $3,461 tracked. Latest: 82% win-rate bettor
- Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — 5 signals, $7,382 tracked. Latest: 82% win-rate political bettor
- Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 10 - April 17, 2026? — 1 signal, $2,282 tracked. Latest: 81% win-rate serial bettor
- Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026? — 1 signal, $2,081 tracked. Latest: Sharp bettor buying momentum
- Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? — 1 signal, $2,376 tracked. Latest: 93% win-rate bettor
- Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory — 1 signal, $1,057 tracked. Latest: New wallet buying repricing
- Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026? — 5 signals, $13,544 tracked. Latest: Profitable event specialist
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?Event · 2 markets · 4 signals
Resolved14d ago
S
Sharp_0xfc2f485% win rate
$2,670 on No at 89¢
Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of VictoryWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
Resolved16d ago
$6,254 on Yes at 70¢
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Resolved16d ago
$6,491 on No at 20¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?Event · 2 markets · 71 signals
Resolved16d ago
T
Trader_0x162f669% win rate
$3,417 on Yes at 43¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Resolved16d ago
W
Whale_0x5fdf594% win rate 🔥
$1,709 on Yes at 25¢
Elon Musk # tweets April 14 - April 21, 2026?Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Resolved16d ago
$8,512 on Yes at 48¢
What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19)Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
Resolved17d ago
S
Sharp_0x4414784% win rate
$1,097 on Yes at 32¢Elon Musk # tweets April 18 - April 20, 2026?Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Resolved18d ago
T
Trader_0xd317972% win rate
$1,663 on Yes at 84¢
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?Event · 2 markets · 8 signals
Resolved18d ago
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b63% win rate
$1,073 on No at 66¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Resolved18d ago
$11,030 on Yes at 74¢
Who will meet with Iran by April 30?Event · 2 markets · 2 signals
Resolved18d ago
S
Sharp_0xfc2f485% win rate
$1,548 on Yes at 82¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Resolved18d ago
W
Whale_0x5fdf594% win rate 🔥
$1,600 on No at 75¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Resolved18d ago
S
Sharp_0x5188f82% win rate
$3,461 on Yes at 88¢
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolved19d ago
S
Sharp_0xdc03d81% win rate
$1,797 on Yes at 81¢
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Resolved20d ago
S
Sharp_0x6964581% win rate
$2,282 on Yes at 90¢Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Resolved20d ago
0xacbc...7cc3$2,081 on Yes at 82¢
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceEvent · 3 markets · 40 signals
Resolved21d ago
W
Whale_0x784fe87% win rate
$1,893 on No at 37¢
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?
Resolved22d ago
T
Trader_0x8e76495% win rate 🔥
$2,376 on Yes at 90¢