Geopolitics
3239 signals across 149 markets — Page 2 of 8
Follow whale trades in geopolitical prediction markets on Polymarket. Track sharp bettors wagering on international diplomacy, conflicts, treaties, and global power shifts.
Geopolitics Markets with Smart Money Signals
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...? — 5 signals, $19,837 tracked. Latest: Serial cross-market bettor
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? — 13 signals, $150,533 tracked. Latest: Serial sharp buying long-shot YES
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? — 3 signals, $7,394 tracked. Latest: 86% winner leads YES cluster
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 10 signals, $169,774 tracked. Latest: Serial cross-market bettor re-enters NO
- Iran leader end of 2026? — 7 signals, $48,395 tracked. Latest: Proven cross-market trader
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...? — 1 signal, $5,455 tracked. Latest: 72% winner buying YES
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? — 1 signal, $3,000 tracked. Latest: Profitable 3-hour new whale
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? — 4 signals, $12,720 tracked. Latest: Profitable serial macro bettor
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 — 1 signal, $1,911 tracked. Latest: Profitable serial cross-market bettor
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? — 2 signals, $11,875 tracked. Latest: Sharp-led YES cluster
- Trump out as President before 2027? — 8 signals, $377,760 tracked. Latest: Profitable sharp buying long-shot Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026? — 1 signal, $6,182 tracked. Latest: 88% winner buying NO
- Who will Trump meet with in May? — 3 signals, $8,320 tracked. Latest: 3-wallet Yes push
- Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? — 1 signal, $2,440 tracked. Latest: Profitable cross-market bettor
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? — 3 signals, $13,408 tracked. Latest: 76% winner backing NO
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? — 3 signals, $8,474 tracked. Latest: 85% winner buys NO
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? — 3 signals, $9,333 tracked. Latest: Serial macro bettor buying YES
- NATO x Russia military clash by...? — 1 signal, $5,000 tracked. Latest: Fresh wallet betting big again
- Israel military action against Yemen by...? — 3 signals, $5,929 tracked. Latest: Profitable cross-market geopolitical bettor
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...? — 5 signals, $10,447 tracked. Latest: 84% win-rate cross-market bettor
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
22d2d ago
W
Whale_0xde7be86% win rate
$3,907 on Yes at 8¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
52d2d ago
T
Trader_0xa022b65% win rate
$9,438 on Yes at 15¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
52d2d ago
$3,446 on Yes at 29¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
52d2d ago
S
Sharp_0xf67f783% win rate
$38,444 on No at 90¢
Iran leader end of 2026?Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
236d2d ago
S
Sharp_0x8e5c078% win rate
$6,738 on Yes at 66¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
236d2d ago
T
Trader_0xd5ccd72% win rate
$5,455 on Yes at 78¢
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
22d2d ago
T
Trader_0xe4f6680% win rate
$3,000 on Yes at 23¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
22d2d ago
W
Wallet_0xd44e961% win rate
$3,869 on Yes at 11¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
236d4d ago
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b63% win rate
$1,911 on Yes at 60¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
22d4d ago
$9,875 on Yes at 6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?
236d4d ago
S
Sharp_0x3b5ba75% win rate
$1,008 on Yes at 14¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
236d4d ago
W
Whale_0xe52c088% win rate
$6,182 on No at 80¢
Who will Trump meet with in May?Event · 2 markets · 3 signals
22d4d ago
$5,175 on Yes at 75¢
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
236d4d ago
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b63% win rate
$2,440 on No at 81¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
236d4d ago
W
Whale_0x31c5185% win rate
$2,402 on No at 70¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
236d5d ago
T
Trader_0x35bbb74% win rate
$2,029 on Yes at 54¢
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
236d5d ago
$5,000 on No at 80¢
